Multiplatform news for 23 years...
May 25, 2013 About Us | The Staff | Contact Us | Advertise | Subscribe
 
  Previous Issues:
January 2, 2012 @ 1:00 AM
Showtime
Maxwell: What Will the New Year Bring?
by Paul S. Maxwell


First, may this be your happiest and most successful new year ...

As the new year starts, we’ve got questions ... lots of questions ... but not many answers ... yet:

• Will Cablevision buy Charter?  (Make up your own corollary question.)

• Which company will lead the next round of consolidation ... in broadcasting? ... in cable? ... in satellite? ... in content? ... in wireless? ... in broadband?

• Which other companies will that catalyst target?

• In David Leiberman's end of the year wrap,  "2011 Big Media: Recalling Moguls Lost Year," (click here), he ends with a startling thought ... some $340B itching to be spent by tech titans ($200B) and the top 10 private equity funds ($140B).  So, will media entice them?

• When will the next round of 3D-TV hype commence?

• When will Apple launch iTV?  (Rumors say Q3 with 32” & 37” screens.)

• Will Siri be the differentiator?

• If Steve Jobs “got TV,” will Google “get it” too?

• What will it do that Comcast can’t do in its cloud?  (Will Comcast look around for its files on Agile TV?)

• Will iTV start a round of feature-driven enhancements to TV – and other screens – viewing?  ... even a la carte?

• Will video search be by voice?  ... if so, when?

• Will there be a reality show that can replace the series of Republican Presidential Candidate Debates?

• Will the Telecom Act really get re-written and updated?

• Should that make all of us worry that we might get what we ask for?  (Let’s be careful; very careful.)

• Will CES attendance set a record?

• How many years will it take to eliminate STBs?

• Will the Olympics and an election year deliver record ad spending?  ... even local for cable matching broadcast?

• Will NBC Sports (nee Outdoor ‘something’ and Versus) mount a serious challenge to ESPN?

• Will NBC Sports bid for the Thursday night NFL games (in a larger package)?  Will NBCU buy the NFL Network instead?  Or, will the NFL re-package games for EVERY night leaving only a couple per Conference on Sunday afternoons?

• How much of the political ad spending will come from Super-PACs?

• Will the Supreme Court allow C-SPAN in?  Should it?

• What month will mark Oprah’s OWN turnaround?

• Is Keith Olbermann a short-timer?

• Will AOL survive?

• Are all the nation’s stock traders bouncing on pogo sticks?

• How many daily newspapers will exist in the US next New Years’ Eve?

• How much lower must the Euro slide against the dollar before you book a European vacation?

• Will Congress simply implode?

• Will the FCC actually get a full complement of Commissioners in 2012?

• If the President actually manages to win re-election (no easy thing), what will the Republicans in Congress do?  ... continue their stubborn recalcitrance? ... or attempt to share in governing?

• Who will survive the Republican road to the White House and actually be the nominee?

• Who will the 3rd (or 4th?) party nominee(s) be?

• Which NFL team will win the Super Bowl?

• Which MLB team will win the next World Serious?

• Will March Madness dominate the ratings again?

• When will ALL sports channels be packaged separately from all else?  After all, Icarus fell when he got too high.  (Is the Fuse being lit?)

• How high is too high?  ... the most serious question for MVPDs as Wall Street only wants to know what they can do for next quarter ...

• Will SOPA derail the net?

• Which MSO will change its name to include Broadband?

• Did anyone notice how many times the NYT has mentioned cable nets begin available on satellite and telco?  Kind of a pyrrhic victory.

Thanks for subscribing ... Happy New Year!

And, if you’ve got answers, send ‘em along to me: max@mediabiz.com.•
Report: Cable Bills 'Triple' Since 2001

Despite the country's floundering economy, one thing seems to be certain: Cable bills continue to increase. A new study shows that during the past 10 years, monthly cable bills have almost tripled for a typical subscriber.

According to SNL Kagan, the average cable customer now pays almost $130 per month for all services including TV, internet and voice -- nearly three times the amount they were paying in 2001. The firm says the increase can mostly be linked to the steep escalation of programming costs… especially sports.

SNL Kagan data shows that in 2001, an average U.S. cable household was paying $48 per month for all services delivered via cable compared to $128 in 2011. The firm also noted that prices for video alone have increased, but not nearly as sharp. Cable subs were paying $40 per month for video in 2001 compared to $78 last year. •
Etc.: Next-Gen Cable Guy - ATA Flags NBC for Super Bowl Stream - Court Upholds Corporate Immunity

Strategy: A good read from NYT suggests another byproduct from the OTT challenge to incumbent video providers is the 'upgraded cable guy.' No longer the stereotypical crank who drags mud across your living room floor, now these highly-trained professionals often have backgrounds in engineering and computer science. Read more. --- Outside its major cable deal, December has been a turbulent month at Verizon Wireless. The company experienced 3 service outages in as many weeks and responded by notifying customers it would start charging $2 to pay their bills online. That didn't work… Subscribers blew up. The FCC perked up. Verizon backed down. WSJ has the scoop.

Disputes: While fans may love the idea, TV companies certainly do not… as evidenced by the American Television Alliance's challenge to NBC's plans on streaming the Super Bowl. The group says the peacock's move undercuts demands from local stations for higher retrans fees. NYP has the story.

In Court: A U.S. appeals panel upheld the a federal law that grants immunity to telecommunications companies that assist the gov't when conducting surveillance of American citizens. Conversely, the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals said it would reexamine a separate lawsuit against the gov't over warrant-less wiretaps. Reuters has the story. --- Looks like TiVo is getting a taste of its own medicine as the DVR pioneer is facing IP infringement allegations from Digital CBT. MediaPost has the 411.

Rules & Regs: Sony, Nintendo and video game maker EA have quietly withdrawn their support for SOPA. The news comes on the heels of GoDaddy flip-flopping its stance (again) on the controversial piracy legislation as customers launched a massive boycott of the domain registrar's services for supporting the measure. --- Heads up to the programmers out there, your platforms must be compliant with closed captioning rules by Jan. 19. Deadline for re-filing for an exemption is Jan. 18. --- As noted in the Evening BRIDGE last week, ACA President & CEO Matt Polka urged the FCC to impose transparency requirements on TV station owners to prevent coordinated retrans consent negotiations that amount to "price fixing schemes" on the public and regulators. "Requiring disclosure of all agreements between separately-owned TV stations in the same market… would serve the public interest by enabling regulatory and antitrust authorities to both monitor the competitive effects of such agreements and detect violations of FCC regulations and federal antitrust statutes," he said.

Retrans: As of press time (Friday, Dec. 30), Time Warner Cable had yet to settle its dispute with MSG. Bloomberg Businessweek has details and updates. --- Mediacom and Hearst inked a last-minute deal last week to keep 10 local stations on in 9 service areas including: ABC affiliates in Jackson (WAPT), Milwaukee (WISN) and Omaha (KETV); CBS affiliates in Des Moines/Ames (KCCI), Louisville (WLKY) and Kansas City (KMBC); the CW affiliate in Kansas City (KCWE) and NBC affiliates in Baltimore (WBAL), New Orleans (WDSU) and Sacramento/Stockton/Modesto (KCRA). Financial terms were undisclosed. --- Verizon and Sinclair reached an agreement for Fox affiliates WBFF and WNUV in Baltimore. --- DIRECTV and Morris Network reached a new deal for the company's 6 O&O stations including: NBC affiliate in Macon (WMGT), ABC affiliates in Lexington (WTVQ) and Wilmington (WWAY), CBS affiliates in Columbus (WCBI) and Chattanooga (WDEF) and Fox affiliate in Gulfport, Miss. (WXXV).

Footprint: AT&T officially added MSG HD and MSG+ HD to its U-verse channel lineup in Connecticut.

Mobile: Social TV start-up Miso launched SideShows, an interactive engagement service for iPhones. Partners signed up so far include: Showtime, Fox, Food Network, DIRECTV's Audience Network, Halogen, Science Channel and CBS Television Distribution. ClickZ has details. --- Time Warner Cable said it will add 37 Spanish-language channels on its TWCableTV app.

Rumor Mill: More rumors from the AppleTV front, as several sources are reporting an Apple-branded TV product (with possible a la carte pricing) could hit the market in early 2012. AdWeek has details. And, while officially not a rumor, GigaOm has details on the chipmakers of the world salivating over the possible Apple iTV contracts… --- Speaking of Apple, while some consumers are undoubtedly just unwrapping their iPad 2s… news comes that the company is already prepping its iPad 3 for a launch in the very near future. CNN has more.

Tech: Boxee 1.5 is the latest - and last - version of the video streaming software that will be released for PCs. The company said it will instead focus its resources on its OTT console (the Boxee Box).

M&A: E.W. Scripps completed its $212M acquisition of 9 TV stations from McGraw-Hill including the ABC affiliates in Denver (KMGH-TV), San Diego (KGTV), Bakersfield (KERO-TV), Indianapolis (WRTV) and Azteca America affiliates in Denver, Fort Collins (Colo.), Colorado Springs, San Diego and Bakersfield.

$$$: Blip.TV raised $6M on the sale of its Series D shares with an option to sell another $5M down the road.

Politix: Some have noted the curious absence of Keith Olbermann from Current TV's 2012 election coverage. Is there trouble brewing between the net and its outspoken news anchor? NYT has this story.

Letters to the Editor (In response to the Dec. 23, 2011 SkyBOX): Editor's Note: We get a lot of mail (and we mean A LOT) about DISH, its employees and practices. The letter below discusses both Netflix's losing business moves and Charlie Ergen's spectrum plays from our awards for 2011.

• It’s amazing we talk about Netflix so much here and ignore Dish’s inept business practices. They’ve lost over 500,000 customers in 2.5 years. Are they getting a free pass with the media? Their senior management is a good old boy network who manage up to each other so they can pay for each others' jet fuel. They regularly yell and scream at employees while checking the daily badge reports on arrival and departures and chastising them on not enough hours above 40 a week spent at their cubes. They think that working smart is working long hours not intelligence.

Can you imagine but its true, the new CEO Joe Clayton (this guy paid Howard Stern $500 million and said it was a good deal, Charlie laughed) requires his top staff to wear suits and ties as if that is going to help? As Dilbert says "the dress code will continue to change till profits improve."  

They recently fired hundreds of smart employees even one notable PHD. Their PR machine consisting of two people stated they're upgrading their employees- to what if you fire smart people and PHD's? There is no annual strategic marketing plan, can you believe it. They think they can keep up with DirecTV or Cable’s marketing and sales strategies - time will tell. -An avid reader.

--- No edition of The Evening BRIDGE today ... Markets are closed.  Back tomorrow afternoon. •
 
Home | Search | Subscribe FREE | About Us | Contact Us | Advertise