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How Satellite Stacks Up
Carving Up the Multiplatform Pie
By Evie Haskell
Scratch the veneer of today’s multiplatform world and you’ll find a satellite. More accurately, you’ll find thousands of satellites – around 3,400 by some 2008 counts. Circling the globe, these space-based communicators provide the backbone for virtually all things multiplatform. Television, high-speed internet and voice: The great majority of each of these services traces back, eventually, to those orbiting bits of composites and computer chips. At the top level of the satellite world are such massive concerns as SES and Intelsat. These giants provide services to broadcasters, cable programmers, telcos and others concerned with shooting bits and bytes around the globe. Below the really big dogs are dozens of other firms ... for example, Hughes, ViaSat, Inmarsat and Globalstar ... which offer broadband, voice and video services to governments and businesses and, of course, consumers. It’s the consumer level that concerns us here. More specifically, video for consumers. And even more specifically than that, video for consumers in the U.S. But first, the world:
According to a recent report from Global Industry Analysts, the world direct-to-home satellite TV market is set to pass the $
50 billion mark in 2009. Much of that $50 billion comes from outside the U.S. There are, after all, 110 DTH pay TV services around the world according to Euroconsult. Only two of them are in the U.S. (Well, three if you count the old C-Band services. But at last count the big dish had only a relative handful video subscribers making it barely a blip in the U.S. market.) The two big satellite services in the U.S. – DIRECTV and DISH – are considerable businesses. Just 15 years after the very first U.S. digital satellite TV launch (DIRECTV in June of 1994), the DBS duo accounts for more than 34% of the U.S. pay TV market. And one of the two – DIRECTV – has proved remarkably resilient gaining 1.145 million subscribers across the 12 month period ending 2Q09.
So that’s the good news for U.S. satellite providers.
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How Satellite Stacks Up - October 2009 |
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How Satellite Stacks Up - October 2009 |
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Beating The Bundle
The bad news comes delivered in a single word: Bundle.
That, of
course, is the voice/video/data package which, when sweetened with
discounts, is meant to draw consumers like flies to honey. While
satellites can (and do) offer all these services, questions of cost and
capacity have kept the big DBS players from launching their own
bundles. Thus the bundle has become a formidable competitive tool for cable and telco services in
U.S. markets.
But has the bundle proven to be the dish slayer
it was originally envisioned as? Or is it more a kind of glue, helping
the MSOs to keep existing customers rather than drawing new ones?
Those
questions are fodder for many a late night debate. And the tenor of
the debate will undoubtedly change as the services offered by various
providers and the preferences of consumers change.
For now, it
would appear that video ... and, more specifically, video as shown on
the TV ... remains a critical component for U.S. customers. And here,
the DBS services appear to hold their own.
The charts and
graphs in this BRIDGE take a look at U.S. DBS services as they compare
to cable and telcoTV in terms of channel offerings, competitive stature
and the like.•
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How Satellite Stacks Up - October 2009 |
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Competition in the Biggest Markets
The question is not just how well satellite and telcoTV can compete in
general, but can they take on the long-time (and massive) cable
operators? To judge this, we’ve taken a look at household penetrations
in the nation’s five largest markets.By the end of the second
quarter, only one of the nation’s five largest markets could be rated
as achieving competitive parity In the Dallas DMA, DBS subscriber
penetrations were slightly less than 5 percentage points behind the
cable operators, represented primarily by Time Warner Cable.
When DBS numbers are combined with telcoTV numbers, the newcomers
actually take the lead in the Dallas DMA reaching more than 45% of
households versus cable’s 41.3%.
The only other top 5 DMA where
the newcomers hold significant market share is in Los Angeles where the
combination of DBS and telcoTV households lag cable penetrations by
just 6.7%.Looking to the future, however, the newer
multiplatform services seem destined to gain more market share as the
12 month period ending on June 30, 2009 saw cable operators losing
ground steadily while both DBS and telco
operators gained ground.•
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Who Wins With Unique Video?
SD or HD? Sports or Premiums?
If you start from the premise that one critical component in multiplatform competition is the quality and availability of video services, it becomes important to look at specific network offerings. For this purpose, we’ve compared the video line-ups of cable, DBS and telcoTV providers in the top five DMAs.
This, of course, is not a simple task: Different types of services, special offers and the like make apples-to-apples comparisons daunting. To simplify the task, and still offer valuable comparisons, we have made the following judgement calls: First we are looking only at unique networks – that is, east and west feeds and the like are not included. Second, we have eliminated broadcast network plus VOD or pay-per-view offerings from consideration. And finally, each of the multi-offerings sports packages – such as the NHL Center Ice or DIRECTV’s NFL Sunday Ticket – are counted only once per provider. (This, we must point out, puts DIRECTV at a disadvantage given its very popular – and exclusive – Sunday Ticket. So our apologies to DIRECTV but as you’ll see, the DBS No. 1 still holds a strong first place in sports.)
Another important apples-to-apples barrier is the fact that all of the top five DMAs are served by not just one but several cable operators. To resolve this conundrum, we simply chose the single cable system for each provider in each DMA that offers the biggest package of video services. Thus each of the following charts show cable’s best for the DMA compared to the existing DBS and telco offers.
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How Satellite Stacks Up - October 2009 |
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Unique Nets: The HD Winner
We’ll start with total unique networks offered (given the previous
conditions) ... and we’ll look at them in terms of standard-definition
and high-definition transmission. (Another qualification here: We are
NOT considering the various back-and-forth tussles over compression and
whether any given operator’s HD channels are really HD or maybe
degraded HD or whatever. Just HD “yes” or “no” goes into our
calculations.)
So who’s the HD (and overall) winner?
Last year, DIRECTV ran a smart, and very successful marketing campaign,
touting its HD offerings. This year, however, the DISH Network has
over taken DIRECTV offering a total of 84 HD nets versus DIRECTV’s 78.
But in several of the top five DMAs terrestrial based services trump
both DBS line-ups. At the top of the heap, the Time Warner system
serving Flushing, NY hits an all-time high of 92 HD networks.
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How Satellite Stacks Up - October 2009 |
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Sports & Premium Winners
| In the arena of sports, however, DIRECTV takes a clear No. 1 (and that’s minus Versus). In all, the DBS provider offers 73 unique sports nets with more than one-third of them in HD. In the cable and telco groups, the largest sports offering in the top five DMAs comes from the Verizon FiOS New York system, where the telco TV service offers 47 unique sports networks, with 17 of them in HD. On the premium side of the equation, however, the situation is reversed. Both DIRECTV and DISH fall below the median top-five DMA premium offering of 52 networks. The premium net winners are the telco guys: Both Verizon FiOS and AT&T U-verse offer a total of 62 premium networks in all their top five DMA systems with 24 of those premium nets transmitted in HD.• |  
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1810 Platte Street
Denver, Colorado 80202
303.271.9960 (T) 303.271.9965 (F)
ISSN # 1550-1779
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Chairman & CEO
Paul S. Maxwell
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President
Robert Lehmann
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Chief Financial Officer
Gina Rayne
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EVP/Content
Evie Haskell
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SrVP Product Marketing
Pinna Gallant
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CTO
Ryan Livingston
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Senior Director of Media & Accounts
Cody Maxwell
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Product and Client Support Specialist
Chris Orgon
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Sales Consultant
Barbara Shapiro
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Data Partner/Cable Data Corporation
Jonda Martin
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The BRIDGE and Mediabiz Competitive Intelligence are services Of Media Business Corp. All rights reserved.
Copyright © 2010 Media Business Corp (MBC).
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How Satellite Stacks Up - October 2009 |
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The Cable Center Bibliography
If you are interested in reading more about this topic the following is a selection of additional periodicals provided by The Cable Center’s Barco Library. Dedicated to chronicling cable’s varied and colorful history, The Barco Library houses the largest collection of cable telecommunications equipment, photographs, and marketing and informational materials in the industry. Visit www.cablecenter.org for more information. Schuk, Carolyn. "Satellite key for mobile TV despite slow pace of market growth, said Satellite 2009 roundtable.(Discussion)." Broadcast Engineering (Online Exclusive) (April 7, 2009) Hansell, Saul. “Like Apple, TV Explores Must-Have Applications.” New York Times, (September 7, 2009) p1, Kumar, Vishesh and Emily Steel. “DirecTV Will Offer Targeted Ads in 2011.” Wall Street Journal - Eastern Edition, (June 17, 2009) Vol. 253 Issue 140, pB2 Hesseldahl, Arik. “What Consumers Cling To in Lean Times.” BusinessWeek Online, (March 19, 2009) p22 Teinowitz, Ira. “Satellite TV … and Beyond!” Television Week, (March 2, 2009) Vol. 28 Issue 6, p3-25 Haire, Thomas. “A seat at the table: broadcast, satellite and cable network ad sales leaders Stephen Appel, Michael Finn and Jeff Lucas discuss the growing role and influence of direct response on their overall businesses.” Response (May 2009):
Lifsher, Marc. “Television; Cable firms seek a tax on satellite rivals; Backers say it would level the playing field, but foes argue it would do the opposite.” Los Angeles Times, (September 3, 2009) Business Desk; Part B; Pg. 1 Teinowitz, Ira “Satellite TV vs. TV Stations, Round Two: In Depth: TVWeek” Television Week (February 2009) Robuck Mike. “Cable spanning the globe” CED Magazine (May 1, 2009) Winslow, George. "Preparing for Next-Gen HD." Broadcasting & Cable 139.7 (Feb 16, 2009): p. 17.Neel, K.C. "Winning Game Plan.(DirecTV)." Multichannel News 30.32 (August 24, 2009): 22. Intini, John. "Lost in space: satellite radio has serious problems. But can it be fixed?" Maclean's 122.12 (April 6, 2009): 37(1).
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Upcoming Events
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October 6-7
Television 3.0 Conference
Beverly Hills, Ca.
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October 13
SkyREPORT Multiplatform Matrix
New York, NY
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October 14-15
The SATCON Conference & Expo
New York, NY
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October 19-22
Digital Hollywood Fall
Santa Monica CA
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October 20-22
ISPCS
Las Cruces, NM
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October 21-23
Supercomm
Chicago, IL
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October 22
FCC Open Meeting
FCC Building
Washington D.C.
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October 25-27
CTAM Summit '09
Denver, CO
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October 25-30
Cable Connection – Fall
Denver, CO
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October 26-28
23rd Annual NAMIC Conference
Denver, CO
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October 27
12th Annual Cable Hall of Fame Celebration
Denver, CO
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October 28-30
SCTE Cable-Tec Expo 2009
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October 28-30
6th Annual Multicultural Marketing Summit
Mandarin Oriental Hotel
Miami, FL.
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October 28
Walter Kaitz Foundation Dinner
Denver, CO
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November 2-4
Strategic Space Symposium
Omaha, NE.
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November 10-12
TelcoTV09
Orlando, FL
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November 12
NewTeeVee
Mission Bay Conference Center
San Francisco, CA.
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December 8-10
2009 DoD Commercial SATCOM Users’ Workshop
Hyatt Crystal City
Arlington, VA
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December 11
The Future of TV Advertising Forum
London, UK
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January 7-10
Consumer Electronics Show
Las Vegas, NV
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January 17-20
2010 PTC’10 Embracing the Cloud
Honolulu, HI
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